Project for Excellence in Journalism

Rating the Pundits

Which prognosticator was most prescient?

November 13, 2006

With each election cycle come more websites and more political predictions. With a Democratic surge apparent and more competitive contests this year, the race among prognosticating pundits was even more intense than usual. Who fared best in the 2006 midterm elections?

Perhaps Larry Sabato really does have a crystal ball, which happens to be the name of his website. While there are still a few extremely close House races to be resolved, the Nov. 7 results reveal the University of Virginia political science professor probably came closer than any other of 10 top political predictors this cycle. Read the full report on the website of the Project for Excellence in Journalism where you can use the interactive chart to do your own analysis of the pundits' predictive powers.