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Elections Before 2008

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    About the Survey

    Results for the early October 2004 political survey are based on telephone interviews conducted under the direction of Princeton Survey Research Associates International among a nationwide sample of 1,233 adults, 18 years of age or older, during the period October 1-3, 2004. For results based on the total sample, one can say with 95% confidence […]

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    Kerry Wins Debate, But Little Change in Candidate Images

    Summary of Findings By two-to-one, voters who watched the first presidential debate believe that John Kerry prevailed. But the widely viewed Sept. 30 showdown did not result in a sea change in opinions of the candidates. As a consequence, George W. Bush continues to have a much stronger personal image than his Democratic challenger, while […]

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    Bush Margin Widens Again, Despite Vulnerabilities

    Summary of Findings George W. Bush has reopened a significant lead over challenger John Kerry over the past week, even as voters express less confidence in the president on Iraq and he continues to trail Kerry on the economy. Two successive nationwide surveys of nearly 1,000 registered voters each show Bush’s margin over Kerry growing […]

  • transcript

    Pushing the Envelope? The Political Activities of Religious Organizations in Campaign 2004

    10:30am-Noon Washington, D.C. Speakers: Richard Land, President, Southern Baptist Convention’s Ethics & Religious Liberty Commission Robert Tuttle, Professor of Law, George Washington University Law School Ronald Walters, Director, African American Leadership Institute; Professor of Government and Politics, University of Maryland Moderator: Luis Lugo, Director, The Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life LUIS LUGO: We […]

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    Kerry Support Rebounds, Race Again Even

    Introduction and Summary Voter opinion in the presidential race has seesawed dramatically in the first two weeks of September. Following a successful nominating convention, George W. Bush broke open a deadlocked contest and jumped out to a big lead over John Kerry. However, polling this past week finds that Bush’s edge over his Democratic rival […]

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    Religion and the 2004 Election: A Pre-Election Analysis

    Correction: Two of the tables (27 and 28) from the original survey have been updated. Please download the revised version of the survey summary, as well as the full report, below. Survey summary (.pdf) Full survey report (.pdf) Much has been said in recent years about the growing identification of religious conservatives — especially Evangelical […]

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